Violence Reduction Units (VRUs) - like the Humber VPP - are required to have an overarching Theory of Change. A Theory of Change is a specific and measurable description of a social change that forms the basis for planning, ongoing decision-making and evaluation.
While developing our Theory of Change with the University of Hull in 2024, we focused on five problem statements that we consider to be the main drivers of serious violence in the Humber region. Our Theory of Change sets out the intended outcomes of our activity through inputs and activities.
The activities, which are the key elements of a whole-system approach, help the intended outputs. These in turn are anticipated to result in outcomes. Outcomes facilitate the ultimate impacts of a sustainable whole-system approach, reduced violence, improved life outcomes for young people and safer communities.